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Illinois primary results – live

 
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PostPosted: Wed Mar 21, 2012 12:34 pm    Post subject: Illinois primary results – live Reply with quote

div class="track"img alt="" src="http://hits.guardian.co.uk/b/ss/guardiangu-feeds/1/H.22.4/2371?ns=guardianpageName=Illinois+primary+results+*+live%3AArticle%3A1720552ch=World+newsc3=GU.co.ukc4=Illinois+%28News%29%2CRepublican+presidential+nomination+2012%2CUS+elections+2012+%28News%29%2CUS+politics%2CRepublicans+%28US%29%2CMitt+Romney+%28News%29%2CRick+Santorum%2CNewt+Gingrich%2CUS+news%2CRon+Paul+%28News%29c5=Unclassified%2CNot+commercially+useful%2CUS+Electionsc6=Richard+Adamsc7=12-Mar-20c8=1720552c9=Articlec10=Minute+by+minute%2CBlogpostc11=World+newsc13=Elections+2012+live+with+Richard+Adamsc25=Richard+Adams%27s+blogc30=contentc42=Newsh2=GU%2FNews%2FWorld+news%2FIllinois" width="1" height="1" //divp class="standfirst"• Mitt Romney in clear win over Rick Santorum in Illinoisbr /• Result a boost for the former Massachusetts governorbr /• Newt Gingrich comes in fourth behind Ron Paulbr /• Folow our a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/interactive/2012/jan/03/gop-nomination-2012-primary-results#state=IL"live-updating 3-D results map/a/p!-- Block 32 --pspan class="timestamp"10.30pm:/span So there we have it – as expected, strongMitt Romney/strong scored a big win in the Illinois primary. Romney won all the voting groups that he has won in other primaries – moderates, the well-off, suburbanites – but because there are more of them in Illinois than some other states, he got a better result./ppObviously, winning a big-ish state such as Illinois takes Romney a step closer to the nomination, and nudges Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich (and Paul, maybe) toward dropping out./ppHere's how this ends: Santorum and Gingrich don't want to be humiliated. Eventually, people will stop showing up, and the press pack will shrivel down to the local AP guy and an intern from the New York Times. Both men will want to get out before national humiliation arrives, in the form of an empty rally venue, footage of embarrassing, thinly-attended events, late-night talkshow cheap shots, Fox News not returning your calls./ppBoth Gingrich and Santorum will want to get out before the cheering stops. Santorum has an obvious last hurrah in Pennsylvania – but that's more than a month from now, on 24 April. If he's smart he'll fold his tent before then. Especially if he has any pretensions to run in 2016 – and politicians being politicians, he probably does./ppGingrich has a nearer Waterloo: Louisiana's primary on Saturday. Having lost twice already to Santorum in the South, the third time may be unlucky for Newt./ppAlthough candidates always vow to fight on, the end – when it comes – come suddenly. One day Newt Gingrich will find that no one wants to carry his bags. I'm guessing that might happen as soon as next Monday. Here's hoping, anyway./p!-- Block 31 --pspan class="timestamp"10.18pm:/span strongGary Younge /stronga href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/mar/21/illinois-republican-primary-mitt-romney"has filed from Chicago/a and notes that Mitt Romney has finally "acquired an aura of inevitability". But with Santorum ahead by a double-digit margin in Louisiana, he doesn't bet on it lasting./pblockquote class="quoted"pI admit that seeing the Republican party eat itself whole from the inside out has a macabre fascination. But there is an unseemly quality to delighting too much in the agony of others, even if you wish them ill. Some people have called it a circus. But circuses are fun. This is about as much fun as watching a man in a sweater vest talking about bestiality./ppEvery week, there's a new test. Every week, one candidate fails it, but nobody seems to pass./p/blockquote!-- Block 30 --pspan class="timestamp"10.09pm:/span strongRick Santorum /stronghas started babbling on about freedom, and as one all three cable channels cut him off in mid-speech./ppHis last words on CNN were something like "And it's on to Louisiana...." which votes on Saturday. Oh dear. According to the latest polls there, a href="http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/03/survey_rick_santorum_has_sizab.html"Santorum leads Mitt Romney/a./pblockquote class="quoted"pAccording to the survey of 2,018 likely Republican voters conducted by Magellan Strategies BR, and not paid for by any campaign or political organization, Santorum was leading Romney by 13 points -- 37 percent to 24 percent, with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, right behind Romney with 24 percent./p/blockquotepMeanwhile, Romney's vote share in Illinois has slipped to 47% and Santorum is up to 34%. Looking less knock-out-y with just 65% of the precincts counted./p!-- Block 29 --pspan class="timestamp"9.52pm:/span Santorum is banging on his twin themes, tying Mitt Romney to Barack Obama as moderate middle managers:/pblockquote class="quoted"pYou need someone who can speak to their convictions, not just what's on their teleprompter. I don't have one here tonight./p/blockquotepAs fate would have it, Romney was using the dreaded Republican hate figure the teleprompter, but it malfunctioned and he stumbled over his notes a couple of times, mangling Steve Jobs's name./ppBack on the attack, Santorum says: "Obamacare or Romneycare, they're interchangable," to warm applause./p!-- Block 28 --pspan class="timestamp"9.47pm:/span The excellent strongMolly Ball/strong of the Atlantic zings Rick Santorum:/pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pNote to Rick Santorum: The Gettysburg Address was only 270 words long./pp— Molly Ball (@mollyesque) a href="https://twitter.com/mollyesque/status/182281154634854400" data-datetime="2012-03-21T01:43:08+00:00"March 21, 2012/a/p/blockquote!-- Block 27 --pspan class="timestamp"9.45pm:/span Oh joy, here's strongRick Santorum/strong. He has attracted a huge crowd to his event in Gettysburg. "I feel welcome back home in Pennsylvania," says Santorum, the subtext being "not like those assholes in Illinois"./ppGettysburg "is a favourite place of mine," says Rick, and seems to be comparing himself to Lincoln? Yes, he is! "This election … is the most important since the election of 1860."/ppLet's see, so that makes Barack Obama … Jefferson Davis?/p!-- Block 26 --pspan class="timestamp"9.40pm:/span strongNewt Gingrich/strong isn't speaking tonight but has "put out a statement". It basically just slags off Romney for having an awesome campaign with loads of money./ppNate Silver at the 538 blog:/pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pRomney unable to break through with key constituencies tonight, like voters who do not like Mitt Romney./pp— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) a href="https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/status/182278997827264512" data-datetime="2012-03-21T01:34:34+00:00"March 21, 2012/a/p/blockquotepSums it up really./p!-- Block 25 --pspan class="timestamp"9.36pm:/span With 46% of the precincts reporting, and Romney's vote share is starting to come down to earth a little: it's currently just a tad over 50% and Santorum has crept up to 32% It's still going to be a blow-out of course./ppYou can follow all of the voting with our exciting strong3D results map/strong a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/interactive/2012/jan/03/gop-nomination-2012-primary-results#state=IL"here – and it doesn't even need 3D glasses or anything/a./p!-- Block 24 --pspan class="timestamp"9.32pm:/span And we're on to Version 938 of Mitt Romney's standard line about how strongBarack Obama /strongdoesn't understand the American economy. "In the last three years, this administration has waged an assault on freedom," says Romney. That's not overblown rhetoric at all, oh no./ppBut what's this?/pp"We once built an interstate highway and we built the Hoover Dam. Now we can't even build a pipeline," says Romney, which is weird, since both the Hoover Dam and the interstate highway network were federally-funded works projects, the exact opposite of what Romney is banging on about./pp"It is not the government that creates our prosperity," Romney goes on to say. Well so much for the highways and the Hoover Dam eh?/p!-- Block 23 --pspan class="timestamp"9.23pm:/span strongMitt Romney/strong is speaking now. "So many great friends," some of whom don't even own Nascar or NFL teams. "Wow, what a night!" says Mitt. /pp"This movement began on a small farm in New Hampshire back in June," recalls Mitt, forgetting that he has been running for president from 2007 onwards./ppMitt is straight into his stump speech thing. And he's just dissed his own grandfather: "He never quite made it," says Mitt. Oh that's nice, your own grandfather? Yeah, I mean, did he fund Staples? No. Did he have $250m stashed away in the Cayman Islands? No./p!-- Block 22 --pspan class="timestamp"9.18pm:/span Yikes. With 30% of the precincts in, strongRon Paul /strongis spanking Newt Gingrich in Illinois. There's a joke in baseball about the "Mendoza line," which defines the threshold of incompetence. On that basis, Gingrich is batting below the Pauldoza Line./ppTaxi for Mr Gingrich./ppNow Ann Romney is speaking, so Mitt can't be far behind./p!-- Block 21 --pspan class="timestamp"9.13pm:/span Politics is a dirty business. As seen below, strongMitt Romney/strong makes a thinly-veiled reference to Rick Santorum's "Google problem."/ppAlso, this proves that Romney likes to be on top./ppem/em/p!-- Block 20 --pspan class="timestamp"9.11pm:/span So strongRick Santorum /strongandstrong Mitt Romney/strong are preparing to speak, with Santorum to go first, speaking to his home crowd in Pennsylvania./pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pHow much cooler would this CNN broadcast be if @a href="https://twitter.com/JohnKingCNN"JohnKingCNN/a had a hook for a hand?/pp— Ishaan Tharoor (@ishaantharoor) a href="https://twitter.com/ishaantharoor/status/182271378496552960" data-datetime="2012-03-21T01:04:17+00:00"March 21, 2012/a/p/blockquotepMeanwhile, CNN are still going with the maps and so on. The answer to the above tweet is: yes./p!-- Block 19 --pspan class="timestamp"8.56pm:/span On CNN, strongErick Erickson /strongis betting that Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum's campaigns are living on borrowed time after Romney's result tonight in Illinois: "This is the first big win he's had that we haven't prefaced with 'Yes, but...'"/p!-- Block 18 --pspan class="timestamp"8.50pm:/span Appropriately, strongRick Santorum/strong's party is being held in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania. Last time there was a big gig there, the guy with the support coming up from the south also got a hammering./p!-- Block 17 --pspan class="timestamp"8.41pm:/span strongCNN has also called Mitt Romney as the winnner in Illinois.br //strongbr /So now that the initial excitement of the result has passed, let's have some actual serious political commentary. I know, that's not what you're reading this for but bear with me./pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pYes, Romney wins IL, as almost everyone expected. But what is the margin? That's what we need for breathless analysis./pp— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) a href="https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/182264112477257728" data-datetime="2012-03-21T00:35:25+00:00"March 21, 2012/a/p/blockquotepIt's Larry Sabato's political world, we just live in it. And the Sage of Charlotesville is right. If Mitt Romney cracks 50% in this one then that really does toll the bell for the end of this thing, even if it staggers on like a chicken with its head cut off, running around in circles spurting blood. And yes that's an image that fits the current Republican field./p!-- Block 16 --pspan class="timestamp"8.37pm:/span Random readerstrong Bruce Cooper /strongemails in:/pblockquote class="quoted"pFox could be covering iPads instead of the primary because a Romney win doesn't go with their goal of a "more conservative" winner. If Rick Santorum were winning a state they would be covering it./p/blockquotepNice conspiracy theory Bruce. My theory is that they're all about the viewing figures, and their sense is that the audience isn't interested and would rather just watch Bill O'Reilly./p!-- Block 15 --pspan class="timestamp"8.34pm:/span strongSIREN: Fox News calls Illinois for Mitt Romney./strong Goodnight./ppJust joking. They have called it though./p!-- Block 14 --pspan class="timestamp"8.31pm:/span What am I saying? If you refresh the page and look at the top of this live blog you will see some of the fabled strongreal numbers /strong– about 1% of them, but real numbers none the less. So throw away those old fake numbers./p!-- Block 13 --pspan class="timestamp"8.28pm:/span Thestrong Los Angeles Times/strong explains how a href="http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-pn-five-things-to-know-about-the-illinois-presidential-primary-20120320,0,2294972.story"Illinois's political geography works/a:/pblockquote class="quoted"pThis state is remarkably simple, from the standpoint of election geography. There is Cook County, which includes Chicago – and after L.A. County is the most populous in the country – surrounded by a number of "collar counties." Chicagoland, as the surronding area is known, makes up most of the statewide primary vote and about two-thirds of the state's congressional districts. Behaviorally, it is moderate Republican territory, though suburban conservatives of the evangelical and social variety are a growing force that should help Santorum. The rest of Illinois is "downstate," a vast, more conservative region that stretches to the outskirts of St. Louis and points south. Romney's vote will be concentrated in the Chicago area, but he spent portions of the last three days courting voters downstate in an effort to cut into Santorum's margins there./p/blockquotepThat's all very well.strong Wolf Blitzer /strongsays CNN is waiting for "real numbers" before making a call. And by "real numbers," let's assume Wolf means a value that represents a quantity along a continuum, such as -5 (an integer), 4/3 (a rational number that is not an integer), 8.6 (a rational number given by a finite decimal representation), √2 (the square root of two, an algebraic number that is not rational) and π (3.1415926535..., a transcendental number)./ppAnd to think people said doing a maths degree was a waste of time. They were right: all the above was just cut and pasted from Wikipedia. Take that, maths geeks./p!-- Block 12 --pspan class="timestamp"8.22pm:/span While we wait for … something, some votes to be counted or the first exploding iPad 3 fatality, spare a thought for lonely strongCandy Crowley/strong of CNN:/pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pSitting in suburban Chicago hotel ballroom waiting for Illinois polls 2 close and "Still The Same" is playing I'm thinkin "exactly"/pp— Candy Crowley (@crowleyCNN) a href="https://twitter.com/crowleyCNN/status/182253488716255232" data-datetime="2012-03-20T23:53:12+00:00"March 20, 2012/a/p/blockquotepWe love you Candy. Chin up. Unplug that iPad 3./p!-- Block 11 --pspan class="timestamp"8.09pm:/span Poll have closed, the exit polls are in, and Mitt Romney seems to be doing very well, as expected, so I don't think this result will detain us long./ppThe strongChicago Tribune/strong is reporting that the a href="http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/clout/chi-record-low-turnout-for-presidential-primary-in-chicago-20120320,0,2430582.story"turnout appears to be very low/a./pblockquote class="quoted"pChicago election officials predicted the lowest turnout in a presidential primary in city history./ppIt was 15 percent at 2pm and the previous low was 32 percent in 1996, said Langdon Neal, chairman of the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners. "It's going to be the lowest," Neal said. "The real issue is" how low./ppHe said he was crossing his fingers that the turnout might reach 20 percent./p/blockquotepThe Guardian's Ana Marie Cox supplies the gags:/pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pSo it's the "lowest primary turnout in Chicago history." Even the dead people only voted once. (SORRY! LOW HANGING JOKE.) a href="https://twitter.com/search/%2523ilprimary"#ilprimary/a/pp— Ana Marie Cox (@anamariecox) a href="https://twitter.com/anamariecox/status/182252578833317888" data-datetime="2012-03-20T23:49:35+00:00"March 20, 2012/a/p/blockquote!-- Block 10 --pspan class="timestamp"7.58pm:/span So while we are waiting till the polls close: let's just watch this video mash-up./ppIt's a work of genius. Memo to the Pulitizer Prize committee: your work is done for 2012. Suck it, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal. This is the future of news. And it's done by some guy in Australia – Australia! – named Hugh Atkin, who tweets as @hmatkin/ppAlso: where does that "masturbating" clip by Romney come from?/p!-- Block 9 --pspan class="timestamp"7.53pm:/span A further sign that this Republican primary may need a fork sticking in it, due to it being done, is in that strongFox News /strongis running a story about exploding iPad 3s over the fact that people are voting in Illinois./ppHang on.... iPad3s are exploding? We may have to switch this into a "Exploding iPad3s - live blog" if this is a thing. If you or a loved one has been injured by an iPad3 bursting into flame, please forward us photos. Of the iPad 3./ppIn meantime: back to Illinois, which is lterally burtsing with votes. Polls close in 10 minutes. Let's hope they aren't running the election on iPad 3s. /ppHelpfully in case of exploding iPads, they are voting in fire stations./ppem/em/p!-- Block 8 --pspan class="timestamp"7.48pm:/span My colleague strongJanine Gibson /strongis watchinga href="http://www.politico.com/livestream/" Politico Live/a – the live-streamed results show designed for people who think the West Wing was too slow-moving – for signs of incipient insanity. Janine writes:/pblockquote class="quoted"pOn Politico Live – which is just like Fox News without hair, makeup, tooth whitening, botox and clothing allowances but with PhDs in political science – the very expert panel are getting insanely overexcited about the prospect of a brokered convention./ppThis is obviously exactly the same as all other news channel panels, except that the Politico experts are obliged by their degrees to point out that this scenario is still incredibly unlikely./p/blockquote!-- Block 7 --pspan class="timestamp"7.44pm:/span The Guardian's strongEwen MacAskill /strongknows where all the best parties are – and he's at tonight's hot ticket, the Mitt Romney victory rally in Schaumburg, on the outskirts of Chicago:/pblockquote class="quoted"pThe Romney team seems to be confident. The password for wifi access at the party for those who cannot face being separated from the internet is Victory2012. In the case of Illinois, it seems to be justified. It was supposed to be a showdown but exit polls suggest it is going to be a walk-over./ppIt has been a beautiful day in Illinois, with residents saying the state has skipped straight from winter to summer. The exit polls say the economy has been the biggest issue and that suits Romney better than Santorum, who is still campaigning on constitutional and cultural issues./ppThis feels like the fag-end of the campaign, the point at which news organisations begin to scale back their commitment. The big networks are at the party tonight but fewer and fewer are bothering to cover anymore the daily rallies./ppThere is also a strong element of voter fatigue. While there has been a lot of television and radio advertising in Illinois, it is hard to find many yard signs up for either Romney or Santorum, in contrast with the way Iowa, New Hampshire and other early states were. It may be that voters have basically decided that Romney is going to be the nominee and any remaining excitement has vanished./p/blockquotepbr /I have to say I agree with Ewen. This has the feel of the a TV sitcom show that's about to be cancelled: most of the original cast has left and the audiences are switching off./p!-- Block 6 --pspan class="timestamp"7.40pm:/span The key to winning Illinois is strongChicago/strong. The Greeks knew it, the Romans knew it, and now Mitt Romney knows it, because that's where all the people live./ppBut Chicago is a tough town – as Rick Santorum once observed:/pblockquote class="quoted"pThey tell me you are wicked and I believe them, for I have seen your painted women under the gas lamps luring the farm boys./p/blockquotepOK so that wasn't Rick Santorum, that was Chicago's poet laureate strongCarl Sandburg/strong, who famously called a href="http://carl-sandburg.com/chicago.htm"Chicago "Hog butcher for the world"./a/p!-- Block 5 --pspan class="timestamp"7.31pm:/span If anyone out there wants a contrast to the high octane nature of US primary politics, I recommend watchingstrong C-Span 2/strong, which is showing recorded footage of the Queen's speech to the joint houses of the British parliament from earlier today. There are bishops, lords, flunkies named Black Rod, and of course the Queen./ppIf you want to make your brain explode, I recommend flipping between that real life British costume drama n C-Span 2 and C-Span 1, where Politico Live is on with presenters currently snorting political methamphetamine. Not literally./p!-- Block 4 --pspan class="timestamp"7.27pm:/span Not everyone is voting for Mitt Romney. Chicago-based funny ladystrong Emily Zanotti/strong has other ideas:/pblockquote class="twitter-tweet tw-align-left" width="460"pFor the record, I'm writing in my cat in the Illinois primary. Not for everything. Just for President./pp— Emily Zanotti (@emzanotti) a href="https://twitter.com/emzanotti/status/182141305592360960" data-datetime="2012-03-20T16:27:25+00:00"March 20, 2012/a/p/blockquotepPresumably the cat hasn't flip-flopped on key policy issues, such as killing mice and long naps./p!-- Block 3 --pspan class="timestamp"7.18pm:/span It's the first time that strongIllinois/strong has been a key primary state since … well, 1860, when some nobody named Abraham Lincoln beat Newt Gingrich*. Or somebody./ppActual historical fact: it was on this day in 1854 that the modern Republican party was founded. And who knows, maybe today will be equally memorable?**/ppNotes:/pp* Not true. They didn't have primaries in those days./pp** It won't be./ppThe facts are these: all the polls say Mitt Romney will beat Rick Santorum like a gong. Ballot problems notwithstanding, this one isn't likely to be an all-nighter. In fact I expect this primary to be called fairly quickly after polls close at 8pm ET, so strap yourself in, it's going to be a quick one./p!-- Block 2 --pspan class="timestamp"7.12pm:/span There are reports of problems with the size of strongballot papers/strong. In many counties, perhaps as many as a third, the ballots were a href="http://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2012/03/breaking-65-illinois-counties-face-ballot-problems.html"too big to fit into the automatic counting machines/a. This means that many ballots will have to be counted by hand. /ppstrongMatt Gauntt/strong, a blogger in Illinois and one of our panel of a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/mar/20/illinois-republican-presidential-primary"Illinois-based commentators for tonight/a, says this:/pblockquote class="quoted"pWhat this means is that even if they corrected the problem mid morning, which I understand a number of them did, they will still have to hand count those that were done manually before they can release the results./p/blockquotepThe Washington Post is confident that while it may delay the official result, Romney's lead in the polls is a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/illinois-republican-primary-widespread-ballot-problems-could-slow-vote-count/2012/03/20/gIQACp81PS_story.html"sufficient not to delay a call/a./p!-- Block 1 --pspan class="timestamp"7.00pm:/span Welcome to our coverage of the strongIllinois primary results/strong where the weather has been hot and the competition for votes has been, well, sort of mildish./ppMitt Romney and Rick Santorum are fighting for 69 delegates. The pollsters have already handed victory to Romney: they say there aren't enough Santorum-leaning conservative and evangelical voters in the south of the state to outnumber Chicago Mitt-moderates. We'll find out soon enough. Polls close at 8pm ET and if the result is clear, the networks will call it soon after./ppIt's not meant to have got this far: it's the first time in years that so much attention has been lauded on the outcome of the presidential primary in this state./ppOur indefatigable correspondent strongEwen MacAskill/strong is on the ground in Illinois, along with our commentator strongGary Younge,/strong who lives in Chicago. They're joined by our US comment editor, strongMatt Seaton/strong./pdiv class="related" style="float: left; margin-right: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"ullia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/illinois"Illinois/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/republican-presidential-nomination-2012"Republican presidential nomination 2012/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-elections-2012"US elections 2012/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-politics"US politics/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/republicans"Republicans/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/mittromney"Mitt Romney/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/rick-santorum"Rick Santorum/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/newt-gingrich"Newt Gingrich/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/usa"United States/a/lilia href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/ronpaul"Ron Paul/a/li/ul/divdiv class="author"a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/profile/richardadams"Richard Adams/a/divbr/div class="terms"a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk"guardian.co.uk/a copy; 2012 Guardian News and Media Limited or its affiliated companies. All rights reserved. | Use of this content is subject to our a href="http://users.guardian.co.uk/help/article/0,,933909,00.html"Terms Conditions/a | a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/help/feeds"More Feeds/a/divp style="clear:both" /
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